Prediction for Copenhagen - Manchester City 13 February 2024
Manchester City are going for their second Champions League trophy! Pep Guardiola's gang rolled through the group stage and will play against Danish side Copenhagen at the start of the play-offs. The representative of the Danish Super League made it to the 1/8 finals of the Champions League through heroic efforts, but are they ready to surprise Holand and co?
The season before, "City" took the treble: won the Champions League, APL and FA Cup. Can the Citizens do the unbelievable and repeat the success? Guardiola does not believe in such a development, or is he just being sly:
"Another treble? That's a fairy tale, my friends. There's a 99.9 per cent chance of Manchester City not making the treble. I say that because no team in history has ever done it twice in a row. Never," Pep said in a recent interview.
The meeting at Parken Stadium kicks off on 13th February at 23:00 Moscow time.
Manchester City will take to the pitch as undisputed favourites:
Manchester City win 1.28
⚪ "Copenhagen" represent the Danish Super League, where they are third at the end of the first half of the season. The Danes started their journey in the Champions League with qualification, where they passed Breidablik, Sparta Prague and Rakuv. At the group stage, Copenhagen finished second in Quartet A - a minute behind even ten Hague's Manchester United.
🔵"Manchester City" are having another strong season. Pep Guardiola's side are second in the APL and have already won the UEFA Super Cup and the Club World Cup. In short, City are good on all fronts. In the group stage, City finished top of Quartet G with 18 points.
Copenhagen have Babacar, Meling and Hocholava in the infirmary. Plus, Lerager will not take part in the match due to suspension.
Manchester City approach the start of the Champions League without any injured players.
Tentative line-ups for Copenhagen vs Manchester City:
Copenhagen (4-3-2-1): Grabara - Ankersen, Dix, Vavro, McKenna - Høylund, Falk, Gonsalves - Eljunussi, Bargie - Claesson
Not playing: Babacar, Meling, Hocholava (all -injury), Lerager (red card)
Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Ederson - Ake, Dias, Akanji, Stones-Rodri, De Bruyne-Doku, Alvarez, Foden-Holand
In the 2008/09 season, City and Copenhagen crossed paths at the Europa League 1/16 finals stage, and at that time the City side went further ahead on the results of the two matches - 2-2, 2-1. In addition, in the 2022/23 season, the teams met in the group stage of the Champions League: City defeated their opponents 5-0 at home, while Copenhagen's scoreline remained at zero.
📊Interesting statistical trends before the match:
- Manchester City have scored three goals in all six of their Champions League group stage matches. You can bet on City's individual total greater than (2.5) for 2.12
- Manchester City have conceded in 14 of their 17 (82.3%) away games in the 2023/24 season. There are reasons to bet on Copenhagen's individual total greater than (1.5) for 2.03
- City have exchanged goals in five of their six Champions League group stage matches. You can bet on "both score yes" for 2.05
- The average xG for the 2023/24 season is 1.85 for Copenhagen and 2.05 for Manchester City.
- Manchester City make an average of 12.42 selections per game.
- In the group stage of the Champions League, Copenhagen possessed the ball an average of 42.4 per cent of the time and Manchester City 70.5.
- In the group stage, Copenhagen had an average of 4.33 shots on goal, while City had 9.0.
- In the Champions League group stage, Copenhagen went offside on average exactly once, while Manchester City had 1.17.
📋Prediction for the main outcomes of Copenhagen vs Manchester City:
Manchester City approach the Champions League play-offs fully armed. Judge for yourself: 13 matches without defeat - 12 wins and one draw. And in eight cases during this stretch, the Citizens have won by two goals or more. Powerful? Now let's remember how City performed in the group stage of the Champions League: six wins out of six possible with a total goal difference of 18:7. Even Marco Rosé's then-prime Leipzig could do nothing about Pep's gang - 3:1, 3:2.
City are in prime form and, importantly, are injury-free. So what should Copenhagen do with such an opponent? Not only is the Danish team from a different weight category and looks like a passenger in the playoffs of the Champions League, but also in the championship of Denmark is now a break. "Copenhagen" for the last two months played three friendlies and took part in the Atlantic Cup - with game conditioning will be problems. Well, we won't look for intrigue where there can't be any: Manchester City win at -1.5 for 1.80
⚽️Прогноз on total goals
Catch an interesting trend - City have scored exactly three goals in all six of their Champions League group stage matches. Will the trend carry over to the play-offs? "The Citizens are scoring in bunches not only in the Champions League, but also in the season as a whole - the average has stopped at 2.41 goals. In 25 of 34 (73.5 per cent) matches, Holand and co have scored at least twice, and in 18 (52.9 per cent) of those matches they have scored three or more times.
The real football genius De Bruyne, the explosive Doku, the always on target Foden, Alvarez and, of course, Holand - City have absolutely everyone who makes the difference. Is Copenhagen ready to contain these guys? In the Atlantic Cup, the Danes even against notional Elfsborg (5:4) or Brøndby (1:2) experienced a lot of problems in defence. Yes, it may be wrong to emphasise the results in a friendly tournament, but the Danes had no other practice, and that's their main problem. In their current state, Copenhagen are simply unable to keep up with the speed of the Champions League. We take Manchester City's individual total greater than (2) for 1.58
📐Corner kicks prediction
Based on all tournaments of the 2023/24 season, Manchester City are averaging 7.35 corners. If we take into account only away games, the figure remains almost the same - 7.12. Meanwhile, Copenhagen allow their opponents an average of 5.21 corners per season. It's clear that Pep's men will spend most of their time in the Danish penalty area, so expect even higher than average numbers here. We take the visitors' individual total of more than (6.5) corners
🟨Prediction on yellow cards
Copenhagen receive an average of 1.85 yellow cards, while Manchester City receive 1.71. In other words, both teams are correct and have no discipline problems. In such a case, why not play the 'under' on cautions? Especially City will probably have an absolutely wild possession percentage (let's assume at least 75-80%), and with such a game pattern it's not easy to earn a large number of cautions. Let's take the under (4.5) yellow card total.